Democrats are gaining ground on or expanding the gap between their Republican counterparts in North Carolina ahead of November’s election, according to survey numbers released Thursday.
A New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll shows that the race for president is tied in the battleground Tar Heel state with both Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump polling at 41 percent in a three-way race. When the third-party candidate is removed from the question, Clinton leads 45/43.
While North Carolina has been described as a “must-have” state for Trump to have a chance at winning the White House, the poll survey said that the “presidential contest might be the least of the Republican Party’s worries in this rapidly changing state.”
Democratic gubernatorial candidate Attorney General Roy Cooper is leading Republican incumbent Governor Pat McCrory by eight points at 50/42, according to the new numbers.
Meanwhile in the race for North Carolina’s United States Senate seat, Democratic challenger Deborah Ross has a four-point lead, 46/42, over Republican incumbent Richard Burr. Nate Cohn wrote when summarizing the poll that the North Carolina Senate race “is among the handful that seem likely to decide control of the Senate.”
Cohn added that the shift in the state’s politics may be occurring because “well-educated white voters are rejecting Republican candidates in North Carolina.” Cohn wrote that, “none of the Republican candidates led among white voters with a college degree.” He noted also that is a group Republican Mitt Romney won by nearly 30 percentage points when running against President Barack Obama in 2012.
The survey shows that Trump is leading Clinton by a 66/17 margin among white voters without a college degree.
Polling numbers have been coming out of North Carolina all week. Elon released surveys this week showing McCrory with a three-point lead over Cooper, Ross with a one-point lead over Burr and Trump with a one-point lead over Clinton. Public Policy Polling released survey results on Wednesday showing Cooper with a five-point lead over McCrory, Burr and Ross tied at 41 percent and Trump with a two-point lead over Clinton.
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