An average of a series of polls of likely North Carolina voters released on Monday and Tuesday show Hillary Clinton, Roy Cooper and Richard Burr leading their respective races with Election Day two weeks away.

The surveys – released by Public Policy Polling, Monmouth University and the New York Times Upshot/Sienna College – show the Democratic presidential nominee Clinton with a nearly four-point advantage on average over Republican nominee Donald Trump. That is continuing a shift among likely voters in the Tar Heel state to be more in favor of backing Clinton over the most recent polls.

Democratic Attorney General Roy Cooper is leading incumbent Republican Governor Pat McCrory by more than two points, which shows McCrory closing the gap on some of the surveys that showed Cooper with an increasing lead recently.

PPP attributes the closer gubernatorial race to the way McCrory has handled the aftermath of Hurricane Matthew.

“This race looks more competitive now than it did a month ago when McCrory’s greatest public visibility was coming due to HB2 rather than the natural disaster,” PPP director Tom Jensen wrote when summarizing the results.

While Democratic candidates are leading races for president and governor, according to the surveys, Republican incumbent Senator Richard Burr is averaging a two-point lead over Democratic challenger Deborah Ross. The PPP and NYT Upshot/Sienna College surveys show each candidate with a one-point lead, while the Monmouth survey shows Burr leading by six points.

PPP also shows Democrats leading the generic legislative ballot by four points.

Early voting is well underway across North Carolina and voters are turning out in numbers much higher than in 2012. Democrats have an overwhelming advantage in early voting, according to PPP, with Clinton leading 63/37, Cooper up 61/33 and Ross ahead of Burr 52/34. This supports the idea that Democrats use early voting at a much higher rate than Republicans.

Early voting runs through November 5 with Election Day set for November 8.

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