Republican Donald Trump holds what Elon University described as a “slight but statistically insignificant” one-point lead over Democrat Hillary Clinton in North Carolina. The results were released by Elon on Tuesday – one day after Elon released North Carolina numbers for the state’s governor and senate races.
The racial divide in North Carolina continues to be a major factor in the election as African-American poll respondents preferred Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump at a 98/2 rate. Trump’s lead with white voters is not as stark but is significant at 65/35.
Clinton appears to be leading among residents who are still undecided. Elon officials wrote when summarizing the results that 35 percent of the undecideds surveyed would lean toward voting for Clinton when pressed on who they would vote for. Trump and Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson split the remaining undecided voters with 18 percent each.
Johnson appears to be pulling votes equally from Clinton and Trump.
North Carolina has been a major target during the election cycle. Both major-party candidates and their vice presidential candidates have made multiple campaign stops in the Tar Heel state.
North Carolina has been described as a “must-have state” if Trump is going to win the White House.
North Carolinians – at 87 percent – said that it was not a factor in their voting decision that Clinton would be the first female president in the United States.
North Carolinians surveyed also felt that both candidates were worse than past candidates from each party – 51 percent said Clinton was worse than normal, while 62 percent said Trump was worse.
Public Policy Polling is also set to release North Carolina-specific survey results this week.
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