New North Carolina survey numbers show a little bit of change and more of the same.
It is becoming clearer by the day that North Carolinians are in the middle of one of the most heated election cycles in recent memory.
That feeling was backed up once again by a new round of poll numbers released by Elon University on Monday.
But in a bit of a changeup, Republican incumbent Governor Pat McCrory is leading his Democratic challenger Attorney General Roy Cooper by almost three percentage points. Cooper has been ahead in recent polls, but these numbers show that the race for the Governor’s Mansion is far from over in the Tar Heel state.
Officials with the Elon Poll described McCrory’s lead as “slight, but statistically insignificant.”
The poll was taken over the last week, when the state’s controversial House Bill 2 was in the news cycle nearly every with the NCAA and Atlantic Coast Conference pulling neutral-site championship events from the state over the law, which advocates maintain is the worst piece of anti-LGBT legislation in the nation.
The number of North Carolinians who opposed HB2 continues to be significant with 49.5 percent of respondents saying they were against the legislation.
Among those surveyed, just over 36 percent said HB2 makes them less likely to vote for him, while nearly 27 percent said they were more likely to vote for him over how he has handled the law.
While eyes across the state and country will be on North Carolina in part for the gubernatorial race, the race for one of the state’s seats in the United States Senate is also viewed as a crucial spot. Republicans have a thin majority in the US Senate and Democrats have targeted Republican incumbent Richard Burr as a weak point in the Republican’s effort to maintain control of the chamber.
Recent polls have varied showing Burr leading at times and then shifting to his Democratic challenger Deborah Ross.
Ross is leading in the Elon poll by an even slimmer margin that McCrory at just one point.
Elon officials wrote in summation that McCrory rising in the polls while Burr was declining was “a surprise.”
There were a couple on interesting demographic notes from the survey; more than 75 percent of respondents were over the age of 51.
And the racial divide in North Carolina appears to be trickling down the ballot. African-Americans have favored Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton by wide margins compared with Republican candidate Donald Trump.
That trend continues in the races for governor and senate in North Carolina. African-American voters favor Cooper over McCrory in the gubernatorial race by a 93-7 margin. That number grows in the senate race with Ross outpacing Burr by a 96-4 gap.
We are expecting presidential survey numbers of likely North Carolina from Elon on Tuesday. Public Policy Polling is also scheduled to release polling numbers from the Tar Heel state later in the week.
See the full results of Monday’s Elon survey here.
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