What we’re thinking
What We’re Thinking: Early Voting Turnout Great for Dems – Is The General Assembly In Play?
Four days into early voting, the turnout has been fantastic for Democrats – so much that Tom thinks the State House could be in reach.
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What We’re Thinking: A Democratic Senate Takeover? Maybe, Maybe Not
Less than a month from the 2026 election, Tom and Aaron break down the Democrats’ chances of retaking control of the U.S. Senate.
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What We’re Thinking: Gas Prices and Blue Waves
A month and a half from the 2026 midterm, Tom’s seeing signs of a major Democratic wave election. (Why? Gas prices.)
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What We’re Thinking: Get Enthusiastic!
This week, Tom and Aaron discuss the enthusiasm gap: the extent to which one side may be more excited about voting than the other.
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What We’re Thinking: Close Races in North Carolina, Yet Again
This week, Tom and Aaron discuss a new PPP survey of North Carolinians that shows a tight race to replace Thom Tillis in the U.S. Senate.
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What We’re Thinking: Democrats Reclaiming the NC House?
This week, Tom and Aaron discuss new numbers that suggest a 13-point swing toward Democrats in 2026 versus 2024.
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What We’re Thinking: A Blue Wave, If You Can Keep It
Tom shares new numbers showing Democrats have the potential (“if they don’t blow it”) to score a big win in the 2026 midterms.
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What We’re Thinking: Democratic Gerrymandering in Virginia?
This week, Tom and Aaron discuss an upcoming vote in Virginia over a new U.S. House district map that’s gerrymandered to benefit Democrats.
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What We’re Thinking: Iran, Gas Prices, Trump, and the Midterms
This week, Tom dissects new polls showing Donald Trump starting to lose support with some of his base voters, mostly due to rising gas prices.
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What We’re Thinking: Analyzing the 2026 Primary
Tom and Aaron look back on the results of last week’s midterm primary in North Carolina and Texas – good news all around for Democrats.
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