What we’re thinking
What We’re Thinking: Close Races in North Carolina, Yet Again
This week, Tom and Aaron discuss a new PPP survey of North Carolinians that shows a tight race to replace Thom Tillis in the U.S. Senate.
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What We’re Thinking: Democrats Reclaiming the NC House?
This week, Tom and Aaron discuss new numbers that suggest a 13-point swing toward Democrats in 2026 versus 2024.
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What We’re Thinking: A Blue Wave, If You Can Keep It
Tom shares new numbers showing Democrats have the potential (“if they don’t blow it”) to score a big win in the 2026 midterms.
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What We’re Thinking: Democratic Gerrymandering in Virginia?
This week, Tom and Aaron discuss an upcoming vote in Virginia over a new U.S. House district map that’s gerrymandered to benefit Democrats.
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What We’re Thinking: Iran, Gas Prices, Trump, and the Midterms
This week, Tom dissects new polls showing Donald Trump starting to lose support with some of his base voters, mostly due to rising gas prices.
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What We’re Thinking: Analyzing the 2026 Primary
Tom and Aaron look back on the results of last week’s midterm primary in North Carolina and Texas – good news all around for Democrats.
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What We’re Thinking: Early Voting and Allam-Foushee
This week, Tom attempts to gauge the state of the Allam-Foushee Congressional primary by looking at early voting numbers.
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What We’re Thinking: Independents Turning Anti-Trump in 2026
Tom and Aaron discuss a new PPP survey showing independent voters turning strongly against Donald Trump – and what that means for the midterm.
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What We’re Thinking: A Democratic Senate in 2027?
Tom’s in a snowy New York and Aaron’s in an icy Chapel Hill, but they can still discuss whether the Democrats can win a Senate majority.
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What We’re Thinking: The Republican Registration Advantage
Registered Republicans now outnumber registered Democrats in North Carolina for the first time ever – but how much does that actually matter?
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