This week, Tom and Aaron discuss new numbers that suggest a 13-point swing toward Democrats in 2026 versus 2024. That’s especially relevant in North Carolina: Republicans have gerrymandered legislative districts to give them a big advantage, but many of those districts favor the GOP by – you guessed it, roughly 13 points. Tom says if nothing changes between now and November (obviously a big ‘if’), Democrats could pick off a couple of those GOP-leaning U.S. House districts – and maybe even reclaim control of the North Carolina State House.

97.9 The Hill WCHL and Chapelboro.com are your headquarters for local news and local voices in Chapel Hill-Carrboro. Every weekday morning, 97.9 The Hill’s Aaron Keck chats with government officials, UNC scholars, business and nonprofit leaders, area musicians, and others in our community as they share their thoughts, their experience, and their expertise on the central issues of today. Click here to listen back to all of Aaron’s conversations – and tune in to “This Morning with Aaron Keck” at 7:30 a.m. on 97.9 The Hill to hear those conversations live.

Every other Monday, Aaron is joined at 8:30 a.m. by Tom Jensen, the director of Public Policy Polling, for a longstanding regular segment called “What We’re Thinking,” looking at recent survey numbers and discussing what they tell us about American public opinion – election-related and otherwise.

You can also listen to “This Morning with Aaron Keck” on Spotify. Click here to follow Aaron and listen to all his segments, from local news to fun features to hard-hitting interviews.

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