This week, Tom and Aaron discuss new numbers that suggest a 13-point swing toward Democrats in 2026 versus 2024. That’s especially relevant in North Carolina: Republicans have gerrymandered legislative districts to give them a big advantage, but many of those districts favor the GOP by – you guessed it, roughly 13 points. Tom says if nothing changes between now and November (obviously a big ‘if’), Democrats could pick off a couple of those GOP-leaning U.S. House districts – and maybe even reclaim control of the North Carolina State House.

97.9 The Hill WCHL and Chapelboro.com are your headquarters for local news and local voices in Chapel Hill-Carrboro. Every weekday morning, 97.9 The Hill’s Aaron Keck chats with government officials, UNC scholars, business and nonprofit leaders, area musicians, and others in our community as they share their thoughts, their experience, and their expertise on the central issues of today. Click here to listen back to all of Aaron’s conversations – and tune in to “This Morning with Aaron Keck” at 7:30 a.m. on 97.9 The Hill to hear those conversations live.

Every other Monday, Aaron is joined at 8:30 a.m. by Tom Jensen, the director of Public Policy Polling, for a longstanding regular segment called “What We’re Thinking,” looking at recent survey numbers and discussing what they tell us about American public opinion – election-related and otherwise.

You can also listen to “This Morning with Aaron Keck” on Spotify. Click here to follow Aaron and listen to all his segments, from local news to fun features to hard-hitting interviews.

Podcast: Play in new window | Download

Subscribe: RSS

Related Stories
‹
What We're Thinking: A Democratic Senate Takeover? Maybe, Maybe Not
Less than a month from the 2026 election, Tom and Aaron break down the Democrats' chances of retaking control of the U.S. Senate.
What We're Thinking: Gas Prices and Blue Waves
A month and a half from the 2026 midterm, Tom's seeing signs of a major Democratic wave election. (Why? Gas prices.)
The Morning News: Budgets, Data Centers, Juries, Candidates, and Michael Jordan
In today's news: Orange County officials list a string of budget pressures, while county staff consider regulating data centers.
On Air Today: Justice Anita Earls on the NC Supreme Court
State Supreme Court justice Anita Earls discusses the North Carolina Supreme Court, the role of the judiciary, and why it's important to vote.
The Morning News: UNC Football, Chapel Hill Shooting, Hedgepeth Jury Selection
In today's news: Chapel Hill police make an arrest in Friday's shooting, and UNC football falls to Notre Dame.
The Morning News: VinFast, Binkley Baptist, UNC Basketball
In today's news: local officials take action against the EV maker VinFast, and UNC men's basketball adds a preseason exhibition against USC.
What We're Thinking: Get Enthusiastic!
This week, Tom and Aaron discuss the enthusiasm gap: the extent to which one side may be more excited about voting than the other.
The Morning News: 'Hello, Dolly!' at PlayMakers, Animal Cruelty Charges in Siler City
In today's news: PlayMakers Repertory Company's Summer Youth Conservatory celebrates its 20th year with the musical "Hello, Dolly!"
What We're Thinking: Close Races in North Carolina, Yet Again
This week, Tom and Aaron discuss a new PPP survey of North Carolinians that shows a tight race to replace Thom Tillis in the U.S. Senate.
The Morning News: Digital Learning at CHCCS, New Chatham Commissioner, College World Series
In today's news: CHCCS approves a new digital learning plan, and Chatham Commissioners appoint Sheriff Mike Roberson to their board.
›