According to a recent survey from Public Policy Polling, President Donald Trump and Senator Thom Tillis continue to lose support in North Carolina. This is not necessarily a new trend, as past polls from the company have also shown Republican support waning in the state.
Trump’s disapproval rate has skyrocketed to 51% after winning the state by 4 points in 2016. Voters are also evenly split at 48% on the subject of impeachment as the House of Representatives continues their inquiry.
Tom Jensen, director of Public Policy Polling, spoke with WCHL’s Aaron Keck about what the results mean. He said Trump’s lower approval rating is consistent across most states his company has polled and point to the 2020 election being a ruling on Trump, no matter the eventual Democratic candidate.
“I think that it is going to come down to a referendum on [Trump],” Jensen said. “I think a lot of these Democrats as they become better known, like Pete Buttigieg and Kamala Harris, may start polling a little bit better with direct polling matchups with Trump given his unpopularity.”
Polled against the five leading Democratic candidates, Trump trails Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, while he is tied with Harris and has a slight lead over Buttigieg. This is especially significant considering the only Democrat to win the state since 1980 was former president Barack Obama.
The poll showed Senator Thom Tillis is even less popular with North Carolina voters, with his approval rating dropping to 22% and his disapproval rating at 44%. Even among Republicans, only 40% of voters approve of Tillis.
Jensen said what points to trouble for Tillis in his senate race is his low approval rating among Republican voters, which is 40 percent. He says these numbers display why primary challengers to Tillis have received such early support.
“So, he’s sort of weak even within his own party and certainly not very strong support from either Democrat [voters] or Independents,” said Jensen.
Voters in the state also continue to show strong support across the aisle for nonpartisan redistricting along with Medicaid expansion.
North Carolina holds its primaries on March 3.