What We’re Thinking

Tom discusses a new PPP survey that shows Joe Biden reclaiming a narrow lead over Donald Trump, with nine percent still undecided.

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Tom discusses last week’s North Carolina primary and what the results may (or may not) mean for the upcoming general election in November.

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Tom discusses some dismal polls for Joe Biden and what he should do to recover – but also strong Democratic showings in special elections.

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Tom and Aaron discuss the state of the GOP presidential race – pretty much over at this point – and look ahead to the general election.

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With the candidate filing period over, Tom and Aaron take an early look at the state of the 2024 Democratic primary.

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This week, Tom and Aaron examine the state of the GOP presidential race through a recent survey of Montana voters.

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With Election Day looming, Tom and Aaron preview some of the highest-profile contests on the national level – and the local level.

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Tom and Aaron discuss a survey of Chapel Hillians that shows a tight race for mayor and Town Council – and lots of voters still undecided.

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This week, Tom and Aaron take a break from polls – and talk baseball, with several former Tar Heels in the thick of the MLB playoff hunt.

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Fourteen months away from the 2024 election, what numbers should we care about – and what numbers should we not care about?

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