Does your heart skip a beat during a downpour and make you wonder how long it will last? Last year’s flood may have heightened your senses to that.
With the potential for rain and thunderstorms through Friday, Chapel Hill stormwater management engineer Sue Burke says the only time the storm water system could be tested is if severe thunderstorms drop high amounts of rain in a short period of time.
“When we’ve had what we call high-intensity-short-duration storms, which means the rain is coming down at a really high rate over a very short period of time, the water then has trouble getting down into the storm drain system there’s just so much of it,” Burke says.
The Town saw 0.66 inches dropped on it Monday. It was spared the same storm Durham saw, which flooded some parts of the city after more than an inch of rain was reported at Raleigh-Durham International Airport. Some area’s may have seen more due to the trend National Weather Service Meteorologist Nick Petro says would present the biggest problems.
“The main concern will be poor-drainage flooding as any of these heavy showers are going to move slowly,” Petro says. “There not a whole lot of wind in the atmosphere. So, these things, when they move, they’re going to move very slowly, and they’ll have the potential to dump a lot of rain over any given area.”
Thursday and Thursday night come with the greatest chances of rain and thunderstorms at this point—although the chance of precipitation tops out at 50 percent during the day. The National Weather Service is predicting less than a tenth of an inch of additional rainfall each day, unless a severe storm hits.
Last year, more than two and a half inches of rain fell in the four days leading up to June 30 when 5.12 inches fell in less than 20 hours. Some Chapel Hillians remember that as the worst flood in some 30 years.
http://chapelboro.com/news/weather/slow-moving-storms-pose-biggest-threat-stormwater-system/Hurricane Arthur has made its way to sea, but not before it took the worst possible path for the Outer Banks.
“With the motion of the storm–in addition to the winds–the resulting wind is even strong on the right side of the storm,” says National Weather Service Meteorologist Katie Dedeaux. “That is the side that pounded the Outer Banks this morning.”
***Dedeaux Spoke with WCHL’s Ron Stutts Friday Morning***
Arthur made landfall at 11:51 p.m. Thursday as a category 2 storm with maximum wind gusts of 101 miles per hour. By the 5:00 a.m. update, the storm had sped up to 23 miles per hour heading north-northeast with the help of the jet stream.
Dedeaux says the cold front that moved through the Triangle Thursday night–which also helped move Arthur out of North Carolina quickly–will set up great weather for fireworks at Kenan Stadium Friday.
“We’re going to have some drier and cooler air coming in,” Dedeaux says. “We’re still going to have highs in the mid-80s today, but we’re going to feel noticeably drier than we have in the past couple of days. And actually tonight is going to be very pleasant; we might have lows into the low-60s tonight.”
For your complete forecast, click here.
To check on Hurricane Arthur, click here.
http://chapelboro.com/news/weather/arthur-sea-clear-skies-fireworks/National Weather Service meteorologist Kathleen Carroll says Tropical Storm Arthur is on track to becoming the season’s first hurricane by Thursday morning and could affect your weekend plans in eastern North Carolina, if those plans include an early start to the weekend.
“Over the next day or two, it will be moving North towards North Carolina, and we should see some impacts with that beginning late Thursday and then overnight Thursday night,” Carroll says.
***Carroll Spoke with WCHL’s Ron Stutts Wednesday Morning***
However, Carroll says the storm could be out of the way in time for fireworks.
“It definitely will be a rainy and potentially breezy day on Thursday, but it looks like the Fourth of July–at least in the evening hours when everybody will probably be enjoying fireworks and barbeques–current timing has that tropical system moving off to the northeast by the afternoon hours,” Carroll says.
If you’re staying put for fireworks at Kenan Stadium, Carroll says Arthur is unlikely to play a big factor in the Triangle.
“For that area, we may not even see that great of an impact from the system itself,” Carroll says. “Winds really wouldn’t be a whole lot stronger than anything we normally see, because the system’s expected to stay closer to the coast. We will probably see a bit more rain, but that will be, in part, due to a frontal system that’s going to be approaching kind of sandwiched between the tropical system off the coast.”
For the latest forecast and tropical storm track, click here.
http://chapelboro.com/news/weather/change-eastern-n-c-july-4-plans/If you like it hot, then you’re going to just love the Triangle weather for the next seven days.
National Weather Service Meteorologist Mike Strickler says it’s going to be steamy all week, with a very slight respite coming during the weekend into early next week.
But even then, don’t expect temperatures to dip below 90.
“Well, we’ve got forecasts of about 96, 97 in Raleigh and Chapel Hill for Wednesday and Thursday,” says Strickler. “And then for Friday, we’ve got 95, and then dropping back to about 93, 94.”
That’s quite a bit hotter than it was last year at this time, Strickler says.
“For 2013, we had 94 degrees observed on the 13th of June, and that was the hottest temperature of the entire month for Raleigh last year” says Strickler. “And otherwise, during the same period last year for the middle of June, we were in the eighties. So we’re a good 10, perhaps 15 degrees above what we experienced at this time last year.”
Strickler says the record for Tuesday was 99 degrees, and we were a little shy of that. The record for Wednesday was 98 degrees.
Back in the mid-1940s, record temperatures for this coming weekend reached up into the 100s.
If record heat is what you’re looking for, Strickler says you should keep your fingers crossed until Friday. But Strickland says he’s hoping to see another temperature record broken from back in the 1960s.
“Personally, I’m hoping for some record lows, which are in the upper 40s through around 50 for this time of years,” says Strickler, “but no hope for that.”
http://chapelboro.com/news/weather/heat-thing-enjoy-week/Less than one year ago, heavy rains flooded Chapel Hill and Carrboro. Are we in for another round this week?
National Weather Service senior forecaster Scott Sharp says the possibility for flooding is certainly out there.
“The showers and storms today will just prime the pump for additional showers and thunderstorm activity we’re expecting later (Tuesday) and more so during the day on Wednesday and Wednesday night,” Sharp says. “We’re looking at rainfall totals during the course of the day today and early this evening probably anywhere from a quarter to maybe a half an inch across the Triangle. The highest potential for heavy rainfall will be late (Tuesday) through Wednesday into Wednesday evening as we pick up an additional inch to maybe two inches of rainfall during that time period.”
***Listen to the Interview***
More than seven inches of rain fell on Chapel Hill-Carrboro on and around June 30. Bolin Creek overflowed flooding East Gate shopping center, Camelot Village apartments, Chapel Hill Town Hall, Granville Towers and many other places.
A flash flood watch is in effect from Tuesday at 6:00 p.m. until Thursday at 6:00 a.m.
“We are expecting the weather conditions to start to improve by Thursday–maybe after lunchtime or so,” Sharp says. “It looks like right now Friday into Saturday it looks like we should see much better, more tranquil weather conditions during that time.”
Remember: a watch means flooding is possible; a warning means flooding is happening or imminent.
http://chapelboro.com/news/weather/flash-flood-watch/Another dose of winter weather is on tap before spring officially arrives, but just how bad with this round be?
WCHL’s Ron Stutts spoke with National Weather Service meteorologist Brandon Vincent about the impending weather.
***Listen to the Interview***
http://chapelboro.com/news/weather/thin-glaze-ice-coat-trees-monday-tuesday/National Weather Service Meteorologist Gail Hartfield says it’s going to take a while to thaw out after temperatures plummeted into the teens.
***WCHL’s Ron Stutts Spoke with Hartfield on the Tuesday Morning News***
http://chapelboro.com/news/weather/cold-temperatures-remain-midday/National Weather Service Senior Forecaster Scott Sharp says once the cold front moves through the Triangle between 7:00 and 7:30 Monday morning, we should expect rain to switch to sleet at about midday.
WCHL’s Ron Stutts spoke with Sharp during the WCHL Monday Morning News.
***Listen to the Interview***
http://chapelboro.com/news/weather/cold-front-bring-frozen-precipitation/RALEIGH – National Weather Service meteorologist Kathleen Carroll says the forecast is clear of frozen precipitation–at least in the near future–and temperatures are projected to be in the 40s Friday.
WCHL’s Ron Stutts spoke with Carroll on the Friday Morning News.
***Listen to the Interview***
http://chapelboro.com/news/weather/thawing-temperatures-way/RALEIGH - The National Weather Service is projecting between six and 11 inches of snow by the end of tomorrow for Orange County. National Weather Service meteorologist Mike Moneypenny says it should be a pretty constant event.
“It’s going to be a pretty much continuous event,” Moneypenny says. “We’re looking at the snow to continue to get a little bit heavier today. And then tomorrow, as the system actually pulls off to the northeast, it will wrap around some cold air and some more snow and come across tomorrow through around lunchtime.”
***Listen to the Interview***
Moneypenny says the question of if has been answered, but the more important question is what kind of precipitation the area will get and how much.
“We have a 100-percent probability of precipitation,” Moneypenny says. “Just about the whole state is going to be affected. The thing is, the ice accumulation is right across the heart of the state—from Charlotte up across Fayetteville and the Triangle area, including Chapel Hill. We could see power outages, which would last for more than a day or so after the end of the storm.”
Chapel Hill-Carrboro saw the worst flood since what some say dates back to the 1930s this summer. While this storm isn’t being projected as an 80-plus-year storm, Moneypenny says early estimates make it one of the worst in at least a decade.
“We see these ice storms on occasion, but, my goodness, I have not gone back and researched it,” Moneypenny says. “I think I’ve heard the number 2002 bandied around—the worst one we’re forecasting since then.”
Stay tuned to WCHL and Chapelboro.com for all the latest on the impending winter weather, including early releases from schools, closings, cancellations, and delays.
Forecast
Winter Storm Warning - Wednesday 9:00 a.m. to Thursday 6:00 p.m.
 72.5°F |
| Today: 93°F / 73°F |  |
| Tomorrow | Friday | Saturday |
 |  |  |
| 89° / 69° | 86° / 68° | 93° / 73° |
