Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton is leading Republican Donald Trump by one point in the race for the White House among likely North Carolina voters….or she is down by seven points. It all depends on which survey you are looking at.
Clinton has had a slight lead in most recent polling in North Carolina, including the survey Elon University released Tuesday that showed the former Secretary of State up one point. But a WRAL poll that was conducted by SurveyUSA shows Trump up seven points.
The latter survey was conducted entirely after an FBI letter announcing further investigation into emails that may be connected to Clinton. The SurveyUSA summary says the continuation of the email investigation “threw the election into chaos.”
There were several demographic differences between the two surveys. The Elon survey, for example, shows that 100 percent of African-American respondents said they either had already voted or were intending to vote for Clinton. The WRAL poll, however, showed Trump getting support from 14 percent of African-American respondents.
READ MORE: Clinton and Cooper Lead in North Carolina; Senate Race Tied in Two Surveys
North Carolina has been called a “must-have” state if Trump is going to win the presidential election, which is one of the reasons why so much polling emphasis has been focused on the state as the election nears.
The state is also home to the most competitive and expensive gubernatorial race in the country.
Democratic Attorney General Roy Cooper continues to hold a slight lead over Republican incumbent Governor Pat McCrory in the WRAL poll and the two are tied, according to Elon. The race has been tightening in most recent surveys, which some pollsters have attributed to McCrory’s handling of the Hurricane Matthew flooding aftermath.
North Carolina may also be home to the United States Senate race that determines which party controls the chamber. And in that senate race, Republican incumbent Richard Burr is leading Democratic challenger Deborah Ross by between four and six points. The race has been seen as too close to call by other recent polling.
Polling averages from Real Clear Politics are showing Clinton with a less-than-one-point advantage over Trump, Burr up less than one point over Ross and Cooper up 2.5 points over McCrory.
Safe to say Election Day may lead to a long night for North Carolinians waiting up to see the election results in the Tar Heel state.
Early voting runs through Saturday and Election Day is November 8.
Comments on Chapelboro are moderated according to our Community Guidelines