97.9 The Hill WCHL and Chapelboro.com are your headquarters for local news and local voices in Chapel Hill-Carrboro. Every weekday morning, 97.9 The Hill’s Aaron Keck chats with government officials, UNC scholars, business and nonprofit leaders, area musicians, and others in our community as they share their thoughts, their experience, and their expertise on the central issues of today. Click here to listen back to all of Aaron’s conversations – and tune in to “This Morning with Aaron Keck” at 7:30 a.m. on 97.9 The Hill to hear those conversations live.
Every other Monday, Aaron is joined at 8:30 a.m. by Tom Jensen, the director of Public Policy Polling, for a longstanding regular segment called “What We’re Thinking,” looking at recent survey numbers and discussing what they tell us about American public opinion – election-related and otherwise.
This week, Tom discusses new numbers showing the GOP presidential race is shaping up just like 2016: Donald Trump doesn’t have majority support among Republican primary voters, but he’s got a big lead anyway because the anti-Trump vote is split among so many different candidates. Ron DeSantis is clearly in second place – but if the anti-Trump vote were to coalesce around one particular candidate, Tom thinks Tim Scott might pose an even stronger challenge.
Also: to what extent might migration matter in 2024, as Americans move from one state to another? Tom says it’s not likely to matter much – but “not much” might be enough to make the difference, in a swingy state like North Carolina.
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