97.9 The Hill WCHL and Chapelboro.com are your headquarters for local news and local voices in Chapel Hill-Carrboro. Every weekday morning, 97.9 The Hill’s Aaron Keck chats with government officials, UNC scholars, business and nonprofit leaders, area musicians, and others in our community as they share their thoughts, their experience, and their expertise on the central issues of today. Click here to listen back to all of Aaron’s conversations – and tune in to “This Morning with Aaron Keck” at 7:30 a.m. on 97.9 The Hill to hear those conversations live.
Every other Monday, Aaron is joined at 8:30 a.m. by Tom Jensen, the director of Public Policy Polling, for a longstanding regular segment called “What We’re Thinking,” looking at recent survey numbers and discussing what they tell us about American public opinion – election-related and otherwise.
This week, Tom and Aaron discuss the (predictable) political fallout from Donald Trump’s recent indictment in New York: it’s made him more popular among Republican voters and less popular with everyone else. To what extent does that affect the 2024 election dynamic? Tom says if anything, it makes a Trump nomination more likely, but a Trump victory less likely – though Republicans may still benefit from having Trump on the ballot, because it’ll bring his supporters out to the polls in ways that could impact the outcome of important down-ballot races. (For instance, the U.S. Senate races in states like Ohio and Montana, both Republican-leaning states with popular Democratic incumbents.) Tom also considers the implications of last year’s Wisconsin Supreme Court election, which the left-leaning candidate won by a larger-than-expected margin.
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