January 31, 2019: Sorry, Howard
All the talk notwithstanding, Howard Schultz is unlikely to make a difference in the 2020 presidential race. Also, an early look at the 2020 US Senate race in North Carolina.
Read MoreWhat We’re Thinking
January 24, 2019: Shutdown, Trump Down
Jim Williams fills in for Tom with numbers from a new national survey showing Americans blaming Trump for the shutdown – and looking elsewhere for President in 2020.
Read MoreJanuary 17, 2019: The Shutdown Moves The Dial
Polls are finding the shutdown is having a negative effect on Donald Trump’s approval rate – and he’s starting to lose (some) support among Republicans.
Read MoreJanuary 10, 2019: Shutdown
A new PPP survey finds Americans want the government reopened, with or without a border-security agreement. Also, early numbers for 2020 in North Carolina.
Read MoreJanuary 3, 2019: Shutdown
Another partial government shutdown – but are Americans paying attention? Also, a way-too-early look ahead at the 2020 presidential race, and the shenanigans in NC-9.
Read MoreDecember 6, 2018: NC-9
The latest in the rapidly-developing saga of election fraud in North Carolina’s ninth Congressional district. Also, very early 2020 presidential polling from Ohio.
Read MoreNovember 29, 2018: Looking To 2020
The final outstanding races have been decided for the 2018 midterm! So now it’s time to focus on 2020: what’s the Congressional picture, and who are the likely Democratic presidential nominees?
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November 15, 2018: Blue Wave?
Late-arriving ballots are good news for Democrats. Also, Tom and Aaron gaze into their crystal ball: what (if anything) do the 2018 results tell us about 2020?
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November 1, 2018: What To Expect In NC On Election Night?
A new PPP survey shows North Carolina Democrats with a slight edge in legislative and judicial races, and two of the six proposed constitutional amendments likely to fail (but the other four likely to pass).
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October 25, 2018: Early Voting
What do the initial early-voting turnout numbers tell us about what to expect on Election Night?
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