Roy Cooper’s lead over Pat McCrory is growing according to a new poll from Monmouth University.
Cooper, the current Democratic Attorney General of North Carolina receives 52 percent in the poll to Republican incumbent governor McCrory’s 43 percent. Libertarian Lon Cecil gets 3 percent and 3 percent are undecided.
The race for North Carolina governor has been neck and neck since March’s primary. As recently as early August, Cooper led McCrory by a single point according to Public Policy Polling.
House Bill 2 continues to negatively impact McCrory’s popularity. The governor’s approval rating is split with 45 percent approving of the job McCrory is doing and 46 percent disapprove. But, 55 percent disapprove of House Bill 2 to 36 percent who approve of the law. Seventy percent of the respondents think that House Bill 2 has had a negative impact on North Carolina’s reputation nationally.
In the race for North Carolina’s United States Senate seat, Republican incumbent Richard Burr leads Democratic challenger Deborah Ross, 45-43. Libertarian Sean Haugh received 4 percent and 8 percent are undecided. Burr has served as one of North Carolina’s senators since 2005. Prior to that, he spent a decade as a member of Congress. Despite more than 20 years of representing North Carolinians, 47 percent of respondents have no opinion on Burr. Seventy-one percent of the people surveyed have no opinion on Ross.
According to the Monmouth survey, the race for president remains close in North Carolina. Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump, 44-42. The gap is the same margin found by Public Polling Polling in early August. In that poll, Clinton held a 43-41 lead over Trump. It was her first lead in North Carolina since March.
Clinton and Trump received similar results in terms of favorable ratings and whether the candidates are “looking out for the little guy.” Thirty-six percent of respondents have a favorable view of Clinton and 34 percent have a favorable view of Trump. According to the poll, 42 percent believe that Clinton would do a good job looking out for the little guy compared to 40 percent for Trump.
Read the full Monmouth University poll.
North Carolina voters aren’t happy with the direction the nation is headed.
The Civitas Institute is a conservative publication, which conducted a poll in late July. In the release of the poll last week, it stated 70 percent of registered North Carolina voters think the United States are on the wrong track compared to the 20 percent that thinks things are heading in the right direction.
In October 2012, the split was 55-40, with the majority still believing the nation wasn’t in the right place.
The number one issue voters said they were concerned about was the economy. In a close second was jobs and unemployment, followed by immigration, health care, and the current government.
Neither political party had the upper hand in the poll. When voters were asked which candidate they would vote for if the election for Congress was held on that date, 43 percent said the Republican and 43 percent said the Democrat.
And, when asked specifically how President Barack Obama is doing—almost at the midway point in his second term—53 percent disapprove while 45 percent approve.
To see a complete breakdown of the poll, click here.http://chapelboro.com/news/national/poll-nation-wrong-track
WASHINGTON — A new poll finds Americans hold Congress in strikingly low regard as a midterm election year nears. Nearly two-thirds say they would like to see their House member replaced.
The Associated Press-GfK poll finds that elected officials in Washington are not benefiting from the public’s slightly improved view of the economy and their own personal finances.
President Barack Obama’s approval rating is negative: 58 percent disapprove of the job he’s doing, while 42 percent approve.
The low opinions of Congress don’t necessarily signal major power shifts next year in the Republican-controlled House and Democratic-controlled Senate. Many House districts are safe enough to protect incumbents despite public discontent.
Most Americans favor a pathway to legal status for immigrants living here illegally. The House has not approved such a measure.http://chapelboro.com/news/national/ap-gfk-poll-low-approval-congress-obama
WASHINGTON — Can you trust your fellow man?
About two-thirds of Americans who answered an AP-Gfk poll say no. In 1972, it was only one-half.
The poll conducted in November says Americans are suspicious of each other in everyday encounters, such as clerks who swipe their credit cards, other drivers on the road or people they meet when traveling.
PurdueUniversity political scientist and public opinion researcher April Clark says so much distrust is not a good thing. Clark says distrust seems to encourage corruption, and she says even the rancor and gridlock in politics might stem from the effects of an increasingly distrustful America.
Some studies suggest it’s too late for most Americans alive today to become more trusting. That research says the basis for a person’s lifetime trust level is set by his or her mid-twenties and unlikely to change, other than in some unifying event such as a world war.http://chapelboro.com/news/national/god-trust-maybe
RALEIGH – In a very early poll for the 2016 Presidential Election, Raleigh-based Public Policy Polling shows former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Kentucky Senator Rand Paul as favorites for the ticket.
On the Democratic ticket, Sec. Clinton is a clear favorite with 52 percent of Democrats favoring her in the hypothetical primary. The only other candidate who came close is Vice President Joe Biden with 12-percent support.
In the Republican field, it is more of a dead heat, with Senator Paul leading with 16 percent. Just behind Sen. Paul are former Vice Presidential candidate Paul Ryan, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, all with 13-percent support.
Florida Senator Marco Rubio, who had previously lead polls of potential Republican candidates for the presidency, is now at ten percent, which PPP director Tom Jensen says is a result of Sen. Rubio taking the lead on immigration reform in the Senate.
“A lot of Republican voters think that he’s been too liberal on that issue and that they don’t want to see an immigration reform package that includes a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants,” Jensen says.
On the flip side, Jensen says that Sen. Paul’s high poll numbers and attention come from his filibuster regarding the United States’ drone policy, taking the liberal position on that issue. However, Jensen says it is important to consider who is on the other side of the drone debate.
“Even though the stance Paul was taking on drones maybe was a little more liberal, he was definitely standing in opposition to the president,” Jensen says. “And, I think, if there’s one thing that Republican voters appreciate, it’s a willingness to take on the president.”
Jensen says support for Sec. Clinton’s run for office comes from most Democratic voters wanting both then-Senator Clinton and then-Senator Obama as their presidential nominee but having to settle for just one.
“What you’re seeing now is voters saying, ‘Well, you were very loyal to President Obama, serving in his administration. After his eight years are up, we want you to be the next in line,’” Jensen says.
With the presidential election still far away and no one announcing their candidacy yet, party leaders have yet to weigh in or give their support. Jensen says Democratic leaders would likely support Sec. Clinton if she was to run, but on the Republican side, he says it’s not that simple.
“The Republican side, I think, is a total muddle,” Jensen says. “There’s lots of qualified candidates who are pretty well known and that’s going to take a while to sort itself out.”
When Democratic voters were asked to consider a Democratic nominee besides Sec. Clinton, Vice President Biden was in the lead with 34 percent, with Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren following with 13 percent.http://chapelboro.com/news/national/poll-shows-paul-clinton-favorites-for-2016
RALEIGH – If you’ve ever wondered what your fellow North Carolinians think about John Edwards, the New York Times and judicial oversight, Public Policy Polling has you covered.
In its recent survey of North Carolina voters, PPP found that 67 percent of residents say they would never vote for former Senator John Edwards again. Sen. Edwards, who was once the Democratic party’s Vice Presidential candidate, received backlash after it was revealed that he had a lengthy affair while his wife had cancer.
Jim Williams, a polling analyst with PPP, explains why Sen. Edwards can do so poorly in North Carolina while other scandal-riddled politicians like former U.S. Representative Anthony Weiner and former New York Governor Elliot Spitzer can continue their political life.
Williams says that not only do states like New York have a different moral tolerance than North Carolina, but Sen. Edwards himself was held in higher esteem in his home state.
“He was sort of representing North Carolina on a national stage before he had his fall from grace,” Williams says. “I think there’s a certain level of embarrassment among North Carolinians when it comes to John Edwards.”
On the subject of embarrassment, PPP also asked North Carolinians how you feel about the New York Times. While this was not included in the question, the New York Times’ editorial board ran a piece titled “The Decline of North Carolina” on July 9, criticizing the General Assembly.
Williams says that while the survey found an almost even split between people who favored, disfavored and had no opinion on the paper, he says the ideological split the poll found between Democrats who favored it and Republicans who disfavored it is likely no different anywhere else in the country.
“It has a reputation of being favored and enjoyed by liberals and dismissed and disliked by conservatives,” Williams says.
Support among North Carolinians for expanded background checks is at 78 percent. While incredibly high, the level of support for background checks in the state is actually lower than in previous polls, which Williams says is a result of issues dealing with gun control not being in the news lately.
“That’s just simply a function of time passing since a major gun tragedy, a major gun shooting somewhere in the United States,” Williams says. “But it’s still overwhelming support.”
Another issue that a majority of North Carolinians stand together on at 52 percent is the Supreme Court overturning Section Five of the Voting Rights Act, with majority displeasure across party lines. Williams says this support for the VRA comes from its storied history.
“People see it as a cornerstone of the Civil Rights movement and you’re not going to see too many people say they don’t agree with what the Civil Rights movement was trying to do,” Williams says.
Congress is currently taking up Section Five of the Voting Rights Act and seeing if it can be re-written to comply with the Supreme Court’s decision, but Williams says that, with the level of discord in both the House and Senate, it’s unlikely that it will get passed any time soon.http://chapelboro.com/news/news-around-town/ppp-polls-on-john-edwards-new-york-times-more